Gold gains as dollar eases; focus on US-China talks

Gold gained on Thursday, supported by an easing dollar as investors awaited progress on the ongoing Sino-U.S. trade negotiations after reports showed that both sides were nearing a deal.

Spot gold rose 0.2 percent to $1,291.89 per ounce as of 0332 GMT. U.S. gold futures firmed 0.1 percent at $1,296.90 an ounce.

"One of the key issues would be the China-U.S. trade negotiations. There is a lot of optimism around the idea that we will see a peaceful resolution and some agreement really soon," said Michael McCarthy, chief market strategist, CMC Markets.

"However, if the trade talks drag out we could see further support for gold because of its implications for growth."

Gold is often seen as a safe investment during times of financial and political uncertainties.

A pause in the equities rally also helped the bullion. Asian shares held near an eight-month peak as investors awaited developments on trade talks.

Negotiations between the United States and China made "good headway" last week in Beijing and the two sides aim to bridge differences during talks this week, White House economic adviser Larry Kudlow said.

The dollar was trading near one-week low posted in the previous session after data showed U.S. services sector activity hit a more than 19-month low in March and private payrolls grew less than expected.

Market participants are now awaiting the U.S. nonfarm payrolls data, due on Friday, as it would offer insights on the strength of the U.S. economy.

A weak payrolls data could further weigh on the U.S. unit, making dollar denominated metals cheaper for investors holding other currencies.

Holdings in the world's largest gold-backed exchange-traded fund, SPDR Gold Trust, also fell for a third consecutive session on Wednesday. Holdings were at their lowest level since Dec. 17 at 24.57 million ounces.

Among other precious metals, spot platinum rose the most in more-than-two-years in the previous session to touch its highest level since end-June 2018 at $879.03 an ounce.

The auto-catalyst metal was down 0.2 percent at $872.93 an ounce on Thursday, while its sister metal palladium was up 0.3 percent at $1,409.15.

Silver dipped 0.3 percent to $15.09 per ounce.

Source:https://www.moneycontrol.com/news/business/markets/gold-gains-as-dollar-eases-focus-on-us-china-talks-3760881.html

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International Market Update

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Closing Bell: Indices revert gains in late trade as Nifty ends below 11,650; BPCL down 4%

Market Close: Benchmark indices ended near day's low after Skymet predicts below normal monsoon due to developing El Nino.

Sensex and Nifty touched record high in the early trade today.

At close, the Sensex was down 179.53 points at 38877.12, while Nifty was down 69.20 points at 11,644. About 998 shares have advanced, 1574 shares declined, and 157 shares are unchanged 

BPCL, Zee Entertainment, IOC, SBI and GAIL were the top losers on the Nifty, while gainers were Indiabulls Housing, Maruti Suzuki, Bajaj Finserv, HCL Tech and JSW Steel.

All the sectoral indices ended in red led by PSU bank (down 2.5 percent) followed by pharma, infra, energy, IT, metal, auto and FMCG.

Source:https://www.moneycontrol.com/news/business/markets/closing-bell-indices-revert-gains-in-late-trade-as-nifty-ends-below-11650-bpcl-down-4-3751991.html

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Nifty hits record high: 10 stocks rallied 22-42% as index gained 1,160 pts

The optimism driven by increasing FII inflows helped Nifty50 to surpass its previous record high of 11,760.20 (touched in August 2018) on April 3 morning.

The index took 146 trading sessions to hit new record high of 11,761 on April 3. The rally actually started in February 2019, especially after opinion polls which indicated that ruling party can win 260-270 seats in general elections 2019.

FIIs have bought equity worth more than Rs 50,000 crore since February.

The Nifty50 has added 1,160 points and the BSE Sensex surged nearly 3,900 points since February 19, 2019.

The correction is over for the time being and the market is in uptrend. In fact, we are in a bull run started in 2013, though there were corrections in between. After September-October 2018 correction market nicely bounced back," Ramesh Damani, Member BSE said in an interview to CNBC-TV18.

Volatility is always associated with elections which come and go, the market is still in bull run and hope the Sensex will go above 40,000 and beyond soon, he added. However, as the market has rallied more than 10 percent and is at higher end of range, he would be cautious.

Among Nifty50, 46 stocks participated in the rally out of which top 30 stocks gained 10-42 percent.

Stocks that gained the maximum in last one-and-half-month are Indiabulls Housing Finance, Yes Bank, Hindustan Petroleum, Tata Motors and Indian Oil Corporation.

The stellar run was not restricted to benchmark indices only, in fact it spilled over to broader market as well which had underperformed since January 2018.

The Nifty Midcap index spiked nearly 14 percent and Smallcap index jumped 18 percent.

“Fresh highs were bound to happen as the force behind the trend looks intact for the further gains that may push Nifty to touch beyond 12K mark and Sensex beyond 39,500,” Mustafa Nadeem, CEO, Epic Research told Moneycontrol.

“Lower inflation, lower interest rate scenario, a dovish stance from Fed reserve and liquidity-driven markets, all these factors are favoring the current scenario,” he said.

The rally was across sectors with Nifty Bank, energy, financial service, infra, metal and realty gaining the most (12-20 percent). PSU Bank, the biggest underperformer due to NPA concerns, turned biggest gainer with 27 percent upside since February 19.

Source:https://www.moneycontrol.com/news/business/markets/nifty-hits-record-high-10-stocks-rallied-22-42-as-index-gained-1160-pts-3753061.html

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Metals with good amount of long positions built up to see strong upmove in April series

The April series seems to have opened with a huge bout of positivity. With Nifty closer to its previous highs and Bank Nifty venturing out into an unchartered territory, the bulls have all the reasons to be optimistic about the current market scenario.

One sector that is poised to take full advantage of this positivity is metals. The sector which has long been preparing itself for this move seems to be fully prepared to go full-out and perform itself in the April series. The fact that it closed with a big white candle pattern on the first day of April series, with a good amount of long positions built up, is indicative of a strong move to be anticipated in this sector.

In the monthly chart of Nifty Metals shown below, notice the hammer candle pattern marked in the blue arrow which falls at 50 percent Fibonacci retracement level.

Source:https://www.moneycontrol.com/news/business/markets/metals-with-good-amount-of-long-positions-built-up-to-see-strong-upmove-in-april-series-3731271.html

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March auto sales may be mixed amid high inventory, but these 2 stocks remain brokerages top picks

Automobile sales in March are expected to be mixed for the sixth consecutive month, citing high inventories, rising ownership cost and deferred purchases during general elections, brokerages said.

Passenger vehicles and two-wheeler sales are expected to be a mixed bag, while the commercial vehicle segment is expected to register weak growth during the month.

In a recent report, Emkay said channel checks indicate rising ownership cost, deferred purchases during elections and selective financing by non-banking financial companies (NBFCs) are constraining volume performance across the automotive segments in the near term.

In the last one year, the sector has been worst performer, with the Nifty Auto index falling nearly 24 percent, amid a liquidity crisis and weak festive season. In March itself, the index was down 1.5 percent as against a seven percent rally in the Nifty.

Motherson Sumi Systems (down 10 percent), Hero MotoCorp (4 percent), Tata Motors (4 percent), Bharat Forge (3.6 percent) and Maruti Suzuki (3.4 percent) were top losers during the month.

Emkay forecasts mixed domestic volumes in March, with growth in passenger vehicles but muted showing in other segments.

Motilal Oswal too expects the same. "While demand for passenger vehicles is partially supported by new launches, the same for commercial vehicle has been declining over the past two months due to weak demand from major end-user segments."

Passenger vehicles

Emkay said passenger vehicle volumes are expected to be positive in the domestic market, with nine and four percent growth for Mahindra & Mahindra and Tata Motors, respectively.

But Maruti Suzuki, the largest car maker, is expected to post a 11.5 percent year-on-year decline in total despatches in March due to weak demand trends in the key western, central and northern markets such as Maharashtra, Gujarat, Delhi and Madhya Pradesh, leading to continued high inventory levels, Motilal Oswal said, adding that dealer inventory stands at 45-60 days.

Two-wheelers

Sales in the two-wheeler segment are expected to be a mixed bag, with declines in Eicher Motors and Hero MotoCorp and growth seen in Bajaj Auto.

Emkay expects Eicher Motors and Hero MotoCorp to report a 12 percent and six percent decline in sales, while Bajaj Auto will post a 16 percent growth YoY.

The research house said competitive intensity has increased as a result of free insurance schemes by Hero MotoCorp and Bajaj Auto.

Dealer inventory days have significantly increased over the past few months and have reached historically high levels. Hero MotoCorp has the highest dealer inventory days at around three months, followed by two months for Bajaj Auto and TVS Motor Company, and one month for Royal Enfield.

After the gloom in January and February, Motilal Oswal said key channel partners are indicating weak retail sales across key markets in March too.

Source:https://www.moneycontrol.com/news/business/markets/march-auto-sales-may-be-mixed-amid-high-inventory-but-these-2-stocks-remain-brokerages-top-picks-3725911.html

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Nifty around 11,500, Sensex up over 100 points; IT stocks lead

Market Opens: It is good start for the Indian indices on Thursday with Nifty above 11,450 level.

At 09:17 hrs IST, the Sensex is up 36.12 points or 0.09% at 38169, and the Nifty up 10.50 points or 0.09% at 11455.50. About 510 shares have advanced, 281 shares declined, and 31 shares are unchanged. 

Zee Ent, HCL Tech, Tech Mahindra, Infosys, Indiabulls Housing, Yes Bank, HPCL, BPCL, IOC, GAIL, Eicher Motors are among major gainers, while losers are Tata Motors, ONGC, JSW Steel, IndusInd Bank, Power Grid, Cipla, HDFC Bank and Tata Steel.

Except metal, auto and pharma, all other sectoral indices are trading with marginal gain.

Rupee Opens: The Indian rupee opened lower by  24 paise at 69.11 per dollar on Thursday versus previous close 68.87.

Source: https://www.moneycontrol.com/news/business/markets/stock-market-live-updates-bse-nse-nifty-around-11500-sensex-up-over-100-points-it-stocks-lead-3714661.html

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Opening Bell

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Closing bell: Sensex jumps 424 pts, Nifty ends tad below 11,500; RIL, banks lead

Market Closing

Benchmark indices rebounded sharply after falling in previous two straight sessions, driven by banking & financials, and index heavyweight Reliance Industries.

The BSE Sensex rallied 424.50 points or 1.12 percent to 38,233.41 and the Nifty50 climbed 129 points or 1.14 percent to 11,483.30.

The Nifty Midcap index also gained over a percent but the market breadth was not so great.

About 1,377 shares advanced against 1,286 declining shares on the BSE.

NTPC, Reliance Industries, SBI, Vedanta and Bajaj Finance were leading gainers among Nifty50 stocks, rising 3-4 percent while Tech Mahindra, IOC, UPL, Infosys and Wipro lost 0.6-2.4 percent.

Source:https://www.moneycontrol.com/news/business/markets/closing-bell-sensex-jumps-424-pts-nifty-ends-tad-below-11500-ril-banks-lead-3700331.html

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These 30 stocks made most of the bull run, rallied 30-99% in a month

With D-Street riding a crest, stocks across sectors posted handsome gains.In the BSE 500 index, which gained 9 percent in 1 month, 30 stocks rallied in the range of 30 percent to 99 percent, which also include stocks that singed in September and October due to factors such as corporate governance issues, liquidity crisis and mixed earnings.

Suzlon Energy, Manpasand Beverages, Dilip Buildcon, Edelweiss Financial, CG Power, Bombay Dyeing, Adani Power, Allahabad Bank, Mahindra Holidays, NBCC, IRB Infrastructure, Just Dial, ICICI Securities, Kalpataru Power Transmission and Can Fin Homes were among the top 30 stocks.

On hopes of Modi government returning to power, FIIs are also in a bullish mood.

"After the clarity on the election results and earnings pickup, we feel, FIIs will do historic investments this year," Foram Parekh, Fundamental Analyst – Equity, Indiabulls Ventures, told Moneycontrol.

The most favoured stocks in this run were among midcaps and smallcaps.

In Nifty50, top four stocks were from PSU segment. They were HPCL (up 35 percent), IOC (up 29 percent), BPCL (21 percent) and NTPC (21 percent) while the rest five among top 10 stocks were from banking and financial segment. Yes Bank, Bajaj Finserv, IndusInd Bank, ICICI Bank and SBI gained 15-17 percent.

Source:https://www.moneycontrol.com/news/business/markets/these-30-stocks-made-most-of-the-bull-run-rallied-30-99-in-a-month-3683761.html

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Opening Bell

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Closing Bell: Sensex ends 269 points higher, Nifty above 11,400; IT stocks outshine

Market at close: Benchmark indices ended higher but off day's high on the back of last hour selling pressure.

The Sensex was up 269.43 points at 38024.32, while Nifty was up 83.60 points at 11,426.90. About 1172 shares have advanced, 1452 shares declined, and 162 shares are unchanged. 

Among the gainers, Kotak Mahindra Bank rose 4%, followed by Power Grid Corp, TCS, ICICI Bank and SBI, while on the other hand HUL shed 2 percent, followed by Yes Bank, RIL, Bharti Airtel and ITC on the Sensex.

On the sectoral front, IT index has outperformed the other indices with nearly 2 percent gain followed by auto, infra, metal and pharma, while selling was seen in the FMCG space.

Nifty Bank continued its upward momentum as it ended 1.6 percent higher at 29381.50.

Source:https://www.moneycontrol.com/news/business/markets/closing-bell-sensex-ends-269-points-higher-nifty-above-11400-it-stocks-outshine-3649211.html

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Bank Nifty gains 10% in March: Here's what is driving the rally in banking stocks

Banking and financial services stocks have been key drivers of the current rally that has led benchmark indices to fresh six-month highs. The up move has been fuelled by hopes of Modi's return at the Centre and renewed FII inflow.

Bank Nifty has rallied 10 percent in March so far and financial services index has climbed around 8 percent in comparison to Nifty's over 5 percent gain.

Index constituents Punjab National Bank, Bank Of Baroda, IndusInd Bank, IDFC First Bank, ICICI Bank, RBL Bank and SBI have rallied 10-20 percent during the current month.

Meanwhile, Kotak Mahindra Bank, Federal Bank, HDFC Bank, Yes Bank and Axis Bank have gained 5-9 percent.

Source:https://www.moneycontrol.com/news/business/markets/bank-nifty-gains-10-in-march-heres-what-is-driving-the-rally-in-banking-stocks-3649921.html

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MCX Support and Resistance Level

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Nifty above 11,250, Sensex gains 300 pts; HDFC Life falls 4%

Market Opens: Indian indices continued its upward momentum on the second day on Tuesday with Nifty opened above 11,200 level.

The Sensex is up 291.67 points at 37345.77, while Nifty is up 80.50 points at 11248.50. About 759 shares have advanced, 129 shares declined, and 24 shares are unchanged. 

RIL, Tata Motors, IOC, Bajaj Finserv, HDFC, Dabur, Ashok Leyland, Union Bank, IOB, Coal India, HDFC Bank, Gail, Grasim Industries are among major gainers on the indices, while losers are Bharti Airtel, Bharti Infratel and HDFC Standard Life.

All the sectoral indices are trading higher led by energy, infra and metal.

Rupee Opens: The Indian rupee opened higher by 13 paise at 69.75 per dollar on Tuesday versus Monday's close 69.88.

Source: https://www.moneycontrol.com/news/business/markets/stock-market-live-updates-bse-nse-nifty-above-11250-sensex-gains-300-pts-hdfc-life-falls-4-3634311.html


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MCX SUpport and Resistance Level

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Aluminium futures slip 0.31% on muted demand

Aluminium prices fell 0.31 percent to Rs 145.20 per kg in futures trade on Wednesday as speculators cut down their positions, taking negative cues from the spot market on muted demand.

At the Multi Commodity Exchange, aluminium for delivery in March declined by 45 paise, or 0.31 percent, to Rs 145.20 per kg in a business turnover of 2,284 lots.

Likewise, the metal for delivery in April fell by 60 paise, or 0.41 percent, to Rs 145.35 per kg in 137 lots.

Analysts said, cutting down of positions by traders owing to slackened demand from consuming industries in the physical market weighed on aluminium prices in futures trade.

Source:https://www.moneycontrol.com/news/business/markets/aluminium-futures-slip-0-31-on-muted-demand-3614381.html

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Sensex gains 150 pts, Nifty around 11,050; Wipro, ITC in focus

Market Opens: It is strong start for the benchmark indices on Wednesday with Nifty opens above 11,000 level.

The Sensex is up 158.64 points at 36601.18, while Nifty is up 47.10 points at 11034.60. About 777 shares have advanced, 146 shares declined, and 43 shares are unchanged 

Wipro, Indiabulls Housing, L&T, HPCL, BPCL, ITC, Vedanta, Grasim, DHFL, are the top gainers on the indices, while losers are Bharat Forge, Reliance Capital 

All the sectoral indices are trading green, while midcap and smallcap also up 0.6 percent.

Source:https://www.moneycontrol.com/news/business/markets/stock-market-live-updates-bse-nse-sensex-gains-150-pts-nifty-around-11050-wipro-itc-in-focus-3612041.html

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