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Sensex, Nifty open flat ahead of RBI meet; bank in focus

Market Opens: It is flat start for the Indian indices ahead of RBI policy meeting.

At 09:19 hrs IST, the Sensex is up 45.55 points at 38922.67, while Nifty is up 5 points at 11649. About 523 shares have advanced, 307 shares declined, and 52 shares are unchanged. 

Indiabullls Housing, Hero Motocorp, Titan, UltraTech Cement, L&T, Vedanta, Bharti Airtel, SRF, Godrej Agrovet are among major gainer, while losers are Wipro, HCL Tech, Zee Entertainment, UPL, BPCL, JSW Steel and Tata Steel.

On the sectoral front, except IT and metal, all other sectoral indices are trading in green.

Rupee Opens: The Indian rupee opened lower by 11 paise at 68.53 per dollar on Thursday versus 68.42 yesterday.

Source:https://www.moneycontrol.com/news/business/markets/market-live-sensex-nifty-open-flat-ahead-of-rbi-meet-bank-in-focus-3759791.html

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Opening Bell

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Metals with good amount of long positions built up to see strong upmove in April series

The April series seems to have opened with a huge bout of positivity. With Nifty closer to its previous highs and Bank Nifty venturing out into an unchartered territory, the bulls have all the reasons to be optimistic about the current market scenario.

One sector that is poised to take full advantage of this positivity is metals. The sector which has long been preparing itself for this move seems to be fully prepared to go full-out and perform itself in the April series. The fact that it closed with a big white candle pattern on the first day of April series, with a good amount of long positions built up, is indicative of a strong move to be anticipated in this sector.

In the monthly chart of Nifty Metals shown below, notice the hammer candle pattern marked in the blue arrow which falls at 50 percent Fibonacci retracement level.

Source:https://www.moneycontrol.com/news/business/markets/metals-with-good-amount-of-long-positions-built-up-to-see-strong-upmove-in-april-series-3731271.html

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What makes this smallcap a good value buy?

Himatsingka Seide (HSL), one of India’s largest home textile majors and exporters, draws our attention on account of improving business fundamentals. Conclusion of capex cycle by H1 FY20, higher contribution from branded products, an uptick in utilisation rates and undemanding valuations make us bullish on the stock.

Q3 review

Positives

- Sales grew on the back of higher contribution from branded products (84 percent of Q3 sales)

- Gross and operating margins expanded noticeably because of a good product mix and full benefits of captive consumption (ie. yarn being utilised to manufacture bed sheets)

Negatives

- Forex losses resulted in other income declining sharply year-on-year (YoY)

- Depreciation and interest costs rose significantly YoY due to investments in the terry towel plant

- Tax rate increased marginally YoY

- The above factors led to a marginal reduction in PAT (profit after tax) margins

Why consider investing?

Capex intensity is waning

By September 2019, HSL’s terry towel facility is likely to be set up. Post this, barring regular maintenance capital expenditure, there is no big expansion plan.

Depreciation and financing charges, that rose noticeably in the past 4 quarters due to investments in the terry towel project, are likely to reduce from H2 FY20 onwards. This is because impetus will be laid on debt repayment. Consequently, bottom-line margins, working capital cycle and cash flows should improve.

Utilisation rates are likely to go up

In Q3 FY17, HSL expanded its bed sheet manufacturing capacity from 23 mmpa (million metres per annum) to 46 mmpa. Utilisation levels in respect of both (ie. original and new capacity) are stable at the moment. As the company’s order book (particularly for branded products) grows, there will be a corresponding uptick in manufacturing activities. This, in turn, should help achieve operating leverage.

Debottlenecking of bed sheet manufacturing capacity has been concluded in Q3 FY19, thereby resulting in an increase in capacity to the tune of 15 mmpa. This new capacity will be utilised for manufacturing products that yield lower realisations, implying that sales growth, to this extent, will be volume-driven.

Once the terry towel facility becomes operational, utilisation levels should start moving up too.

Sale of branded products on an uptrend

In 9M FY19, brands constituted about 85.6 percent of the top-line as against 71 percent in FY18. HSL’s own brands are making their presence felt in the financials.

HSL will complete integration of manufacturing processes of the Tommy Hilfiger brand by Q4 FY19-end.

Rights to sell ‘Calvin Klein Home’ products globally have been acquired. Previously, HSL could sell products only in North America.

Since branded products, especially own brands and fashion bedding variants, command better realisations vis-a-vis their unbranded counterparts, HSL’s margins should start moving up gradually.

Risks

To mitigate risks associated with regional concentration, HSL is exploring markets in Europe and Asia. Nevertheless, at the moment, the US market alone comprises nearly 85-90 percent of HSL’s annual top-line. Therefore, Trump’s actions of withdrawing the preferential trade treatment granted to Indian exporters may affect the company’s future revenue visibility.

Indian Rupee’s appreciation vis-à-vis the US dollar would impact product realisations to the extent of unhedged cash flows. Raw material (cotton) costs are not showing any signs of moderation as of now.

Competitive pressure from nations such as Pakistan, Vietnam and Bangladesh continues to persist.

Signs of consumption slowdown in international markets can hit the order book.

Outlook

HSL’s stock price has been on a downward spiral during the course of the last 12 months. This is primarily on account of market volatility and YoY dip in PAT (profit after tax) margins since the last 3 quarters.

After a sharp 47 percent correction from its 52-week high, the stock trades at an undemanding 6.7 times its FY21 projected earnings. This makes it a good value buy.

However, it is pertinent to note that any meaningful re-rating in HSL’s valuation multiples may be seen only from H2 FY20.

Source:https://www.moneycontrol.com/news/business/moneycontrol-research/ideas-for-profit-what-makes-this-smallcap-a-good-value-buy-3724171.html

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Indices begin April series firm, Nifty above 11,600; Vodafone Idea gains 14%

Market Opens: It is a strong start for the April F&O series on Friday with Nifty above 11,600 level.

At 09:18 hrs IST, the Sensex is up 171.30 points or 0.44% at 38717.02, and the Nifty up 49.60 points or 0.43% at 11619.60.  About 592 shares have advanced, 203 shares declined, and 50 shares are unchanged. 

The gainers are IOC, Indiabulls Housing, Hindalco, Wipro, Tech Mahindra, RIL, BPCL, Can Fin Homes, Vodafone Idea, Jet Airways, PFC, REC while losers include Axis Bank, IndusInd Bank, Eicher Motors, SBI life and Motherson Sumi.

All the sectoral indices are trading in green led by metal, energy, infra, IT, pharma and auto.

Rupee Opens: The Indian rupee gained in the early trade on Friday. It opened higher by 10 paise at 69.24 per dollar versus previous close 69.34.

Source:https://www.moneycontrol.com/news/business/markets/stock-market-live-updates-bse-nse-indices-begin-april-series-firm-nifty-above-11600-vodafone-idea-gains-14-3722631.html

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Nifty Bank at record high; HDFC Bank, RBL Bank hit 52-week highs

The Bank Nifty hit an all-time high on March 27 as the rally in banking stocks continued for the second consecutive day.  The index surpassed its previous record high of 30,008 registered on March 22 and hit a fresh intraday high of 30,129.25 in the morning trade.

The rally was led by IndusInd Bank (up 3.8 percent), followed by RBL Bank (up 1.86 percent), Yes Bank (up 1.5 percent), PNB (up 1.3 percent), and Bank of Baroda (up 1 percent).

As many as two stocks in the Nifty Bank hit a fresh 52-week high. HDFC Bank surged to Rs 2,328.05, and RBL Bank rose to Rs 667.80 intraday on March 27.

Most experts feel that the rally is here to stay and investors can remain net long in the index with an initial target of 30,250. The support is seen at 29,500.

Source:

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Nifty may consolidate ahead of March expiry; HDFC Bank, ICICI, SBI top bets

Since the index is already up for 12-13 trading sessions, one should wait for some price and time correction to take place to initiate fresh long positions, Arun Kumar, Market Strategist, Reliance Securities, said in an interview with Moneycontrol’s Kshitij Anand.

Q) What is fuelling a rally in Nifty Bank and near-term target? Any stocks particularly in that index which are still looking attractive after recent rally?

A) The sharp breakout of NiftyBank index seen on March 5, 2019, triggered bullish signals on a near-term basis. On March 7, the Bank index surpassed its high of 27,754 recorded on January 9, 2019, on a closing basis.

This move confirmed the breakout and attracted long-term participation. Stocks, especially Axis Bank and ICICI Bank, improved the bullish sentiments with their sharp rallies.

Since the index is already up for 12-13 trading sessions, one should wait for some price and time correction to take place to initiate fresh long positions.

HDFC Bank, ICICI Bank, SBI and Axis Bank may be considered for going long, post the corrective action.

Q) Mid and small-cap stocks which have been hitting 52-week highs on consistently. Are they still worth looking at?

A) The NSE Midcap Index has consolidated around its long-term average for the past eight trading sessions and the index has moved up significantly after testing its 200-week moving average over the past five weeks.

Whereas, NSE Small-cap Index has been hovering just below its 200-DMA for the past nine trading sessions. It trades just below its 200-week moving average.

From a relative strength perspective (RSI), NSE Small-cap index displays better strength. Considering the behaviour of these indices against the benchmark, one must be very selective and trade in qualitative stocks.

Q) How is Nifty looking on charts ahead of the March F&O expiry?

A) The NSE Nifty50 Index is stretched on the near-term basis and may consolidate ahead of the expiry. Since the index is positive on a medium-term basis, we expect any corrective action to be limited. Ideally, it should hold above 11,250 on closing basis during next week to maintain its positive momentum.

Q) How are Airline stocks such as IndiGo, SpiceJet, and Jet Airways looking on charts?

A) IndiGo continues to rule the roost as the leader in this pack. It is the outperformer. The stock has scope to retain its leadership on a medium-term basis.

SpiceJet comes in as the second-best stock to trade and based on the setups it could generate positive returns on a medium-term basis.

However, Jet Airways has underperformed and there are no immediate signs of reversing this trend.

Disclaimer: The views and investment tips expressed by investment experts on Moneycontrol.com are their own, and not that of the website or its management. Moneycontrol.com advises users to check with certified experts before taking any investment decisions.

Source:https://www.moneycontrol.com/news/business/markets/nifty-may-consolidate-ahead-of-march-expiry-hdfc-bank-icici-sbi-top-bets-3686931.html

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Closing Bell: Sensex ends higher, Nifty holds 11,500; PNB gains 3%

Market Close: Benchmark indices ended mixed after they remained range bound throughout Wednesday. 

The Sensex was up 23.28 points at 38386.75, while Nifty was down 11.40 points at 11521. About 1104 shares have advanced, 1532 shares declined, and 173 shares are unchanged. 

Indiabulls Housing, Hindalco Industries, Infosys, Dr Reddy’s Labs and Wipro were among major gainers, while losers include HPCL, Zee Entertainment, BPCL, NTPC and ONGC on the Nifty.

Except bank, pharma and IT all other sectoral indices are ended in red led by auto, metal, energy, FMCG and infra.

Source:https://www.moneycontrol.com/news/business/markets/closing-bell-sensex-ends-higher-nifty-holds-11500-pnb-gains-3-3669791.html

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Nifty flat, Sensex trades higher; ONGC top loser

Market Opens: It is a flat start for the Indian indices with Nifty below 11,500 level.

The Sensex is up 9.74 points at 38373.21, while Nifty is up 0.90 points at 11533.30. About 391 shares have advanced, 235 shares declined, and 41 shares are unchanged. 

Vedanta, Infosys, L&T, TCS and Axis Bank are the top gainers on the Sensex.

Rupee Opens: The Indian rupee opened lower by 8 paise at 69.05 per dollar on Wednesday versus Tuesday's close 68.97.

Source:https://www.moneycontrol.com/news/business/markets/stock-market-live-updates-bse-nse-nifty-flat-sensex-trades-higher-ongc-top-loser-3669791.html

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Opening Bell

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Nifty ends above 11,150, Sensex gains 382 pts; metal stocks outperform

Market at close: Indices ended on strong note on Monday as bulls took charge of the Dalal Street with Sensex closed above 37,000, while Nifty finished above 11,150 mark.

The Sensex was up 382.67 points at 37054.10, while Nifty was up 132.60 points at 11168. About 1735 shares have advanced, 911 shares declined, and 163 shares are unchanged. 

Bharti Airtel, HPCL, BPCL, Eicher Motors and Bharti Infratel were the top gainers on the Nifty, while losers include NTPC, Zee Entertainment, TCS, Tech Mahindra and HCL Tech.

Except IT index, all other sectoral indices ended in green led by auto, energy, infra, metal, PSU bank, pharma and FMCG.

Source:https://www.moneycontrol.com/news/business/markets/closing-bell-nifty-ends-above-11150-sensex-gains-382-pts-metal-stocks-outperform-3629741.html

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Closing Bell: Nifty ends flat, Sensex up 89 points; L&T, Axis Bank top gainers

Market at close: Benchmark indices ended higher for the fourth consecutive day with Nifty closed around 11,050 level.

The Sensex was up 89.32 points at 36725.42, while Nifty was up 5.20 points at 11058.20. About 1287 shares have advanced, 1349 shares declined, and 159 shares are unchanged.

L&T, M&M, Axis Bank, ITC and Power Grid Corp were the top gainers on the Nifty, while losers include Wipro, IOC, Coal India, Zee Entertainment and Sun Pharma.

Among the sectoral indices, IT, metal, auto and pharma witnessed selling pressure, while some buying was seen in the bank, FMCG and infra sectors.

Source:https://www.moneycontrol.com/news/business/markets/closing-bell-nifty-ends-flat-sensex-up-89-points-lt-axis-bank-top-gainers-3616981.html

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Opening Bell

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Closing Bell: Nifty ends 124 pts higher, Sensex up 378 pts; auto stocks biggest gainers

Market at close: It is a strong close for benchmark indices on first day of the week as market was shut on Monday on account of Mahashivratri. 

The Sensex was up 378.73 points at 36442.54, while Nifty was up 124.00 points at 10987.50. About 2118 shares have advanced, 568 shares declined, and 152 shares are unchanged. 

Indiabulls Housing, Eicher Motors, Tata Motors, HPCL and BPCL were the top gainers on the Nifty, while losers were Wipro, Tech Mahindra, Infosys, HUL and Cipla.

Midcap and smallcap gained 2-3 percent, respectively. Among the sectors, auto, metal and PSU bank indices led with 2-3 percent gain followed by energy, infra and pharma, while IT index lost over 1 percent.

Rupee gains further: The Indian rupee is trading higher by 43 paise at 70.48 per dollar versus Friday's close 70.91.

Source:https://www.moneycontrol.com/news/business/markets/closing-bell-nifty-ends-124-pts-higher-sensex-up-378-pts-auto-stocks-biggest-gainers-3607341.html

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International Market Update (1 March 2019)

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Nifty above 10,800, Sensex up 100 pts; IOC, Sun Pharma top gainers

Market Opens: It is a strong start for the indices on Thursday with Nifty trading around 10,850 level.

At 09:18 hrs IST, the Sensex is up 139.66 points at 36045.09, while Nifty is up 40.90 points at 10847.60. About 525 shares have advanced, 138 shares declined, and 33 shares are unchanged. 

Tata Metaliks, Future Retail, Yes Bank, Tata Motors, Coal India, Adani Ports, Quick Heal, Motherson Sumi, Balrampur Chini, Maruti Suzuki are among major gainers on the indices, while losers are ONGC, Wipro, Indiabulls Housing, Jet Airways, Odisha Cement, TCS and HCL Tech.

All the sectoral indices are trading in green led by PSU bank, auto, energy and FMCG.

Rupee Opens: The Indian rupee opened lower at 71.26 per dollar on Thursday versus Wednesday's close 71.22.

Source:https://www.moneycontrol.com/news/business/markets/stock-market-live-updates-bse-nse-nifty-above-10800-sensex-up-100-pts-ioc-sun-pharma-top-gainers-3591771.html

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GST cut to boost sales of under-construction flats; no ITC may hit builders' profit margin: Moody's

Credit rating agency Moody's on Wednesday said the GST rate cut on under-construction flats will boost housing sales, but may hit profit margins of builders with withdrawal of input tax credit.

The GST Council had on Sunday decided to cut goods and services tax (GST) rate on affordable homes to 1 per cent without input tax credit (ITC) from earlier 8 per cent with ITC.

The GST on under-construction flats, which is not under the affordable housing segment, has been reduced to 5 per cent without ITC from earlier 12 per cent with ITC.

"The reduction in GST is credit positive for India's property developers...because the reduction in tax will boost demand and increase sales of properties under construction," Moody's Investors Service said in a statement.

"India's real estate sector has weathered difficulties in the last few years amid price reductions from a glut of inventory and lackluster demand. The reduction in GST will improve housing affordability as the amount to be paid by a potential house buyer will be reduced, which will increase demand for property," it added.

The reduction in GST rate on affordable housing is in line with the government's increased focus on this segment, Moody's said.

"The new GST measures eliminate the ability to claim input tax credit, which may hit the profitability of the developers," the rating agency said.

Currently, the developers are able to reduce the tax liability when it makes a sale by claiming tax paid on goods and services required for the construction of properties. "This will further impact developers' profit margins that are already under pressure."

Moody's said that the developers have the option to mitigate this loss by increasing prices slightly given that overall pricing for the customer has reduced with lower GST.

Meanwhile, Fitch Ratings said the move to reduce the GST on under-construction properties and expand the scope of the affordable-housing category would improve affordability and support demand.

"We believe this will boost consumer sentiment and cut transaction costs, which can be as high as 18 per cent in Mumbai after including other taxes, such as stamp duty, surcharge and registration fees," it said.

"The measure also withdraws input-tax credits for developers, but we still expect marginal savings on overall transaction costs and more so for affordable housing as well as improved buyer confidence, as the measure eliminates ambiguity as to whether property developers are adequately passing on input-tax credit to buyers," Fitch said.

Source:https://www.moneycontrol.com/news/business/economy/gst-cut-to-boost-sales-of-under-construction-flats-no-itc-may-hit-builders-profit-margin-moodys-3589171.html

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Geopolitical tensions drag Nifty below 10,800 at open, Sensex falls 200 pts; banks under pressure

Market Opens: The geopolitical tension on Indo-Pak border has pulled the Nifty below 10,800 in the opening trade, while Sensex is down over 200 points.

The Sensex is down 241.49 points at 35971.89, while Nifty is down 81.60 points at 10798.50. 
About 171 shares have advanced, 780 shares declined, and 41 shares are unchanged. 

Top gainers are Bharti Infratel, Asian Paints and HCL Tech, while losers include Yes Bank, SBI, Indiabulls Housing, JSW Steel, Hero Moto, ONGC, ICICI Bank, Hindalco, Vedanta, Bajaj Fiance and Rain Industries, Jet Airways and Spicejet.

Rupee Opens: The Indian rupee slipped in the early trade on Tuesday. It opened lower by 28 paise at 71.26 per dollar versus previous close 70.98.

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