RBI cuts repo rate: 12 rate-sensitive stocks that will benefit the most

The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) slashed repo rate by 25 bps to 6 percent on April 4 as expected and kept the stance unchanged to ‘Neutral’. This is the second rate cut in 2019.

“These decisions are in consonance with the objective of achieving the medium-term target for consumer price index (CPI) inflation of 4 percent within a band of +/- 2 percent while supporting growth,” the central bank said in a statement.

The MPC notes that the output gap remains negative and the domestic economy is facing headwinds, especially on the global front. The need is to strengthen domestic growth impulses by spurring private investment which has remained sluggish.

Rate cut usually acts as a sentiment booster and aid companies that have to service large debts. A cut by RBI injects liquidity in the economy. Loans with a low rate lead to an increase in buying interest in the consumer-driven economy which will help India Inc. to deliver strong earnings growth.

Top sectors which are likely to benefit the most from a rate cut are banking, NBFC, infrastructure and real estate. This rate cut will help in boosting demand and ease interest rate pressure on debt-heavy companies, suggest experts.

“If we look from the perspective of real estate sector the RBI rate cut will impact the home loan interest rate, this will allow the reduction in EMIs which will bring a positive impact on the sector's growth. IndiaBulls real estate and DLF are the two stocks which have some debt burden and seems to get the benefit of this rate cut,” Ritesh Ashar, CSO at KIFS Trade Capital told Moneycontrol.

“NBFC sector along with banks are also likely to get the benefit of this rate cut as the cost of funding will become low and there would be an improvement in the margin and in this space stocks like DHFL and Indiabulls Housing Finance looks quite promising,” he said.

Source:https://www.moneycontrol.com/news/business/stocks/rbi-cuts-repo-rate-12-rate-sensitive-stocks-that-will-benefit-the-most-3753751.html

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Metals with good amount of long positions built up to see strong upmove in April series

The April series seems to have opened with a huge bout of positivity. With Nifty closer to its previous highs and Bank Nifty venturing out into an unchartered territory, the bulls have all the reasons to be optimistic about the current market scenario.

One sector that is poised to take full advantage of this positivity is metals. The sector which has long been preparing itself for this move seems to be fully prepared to go full-out and perform itself in the April series. The fact that it closed with a big white candle pattern on the first day of April series, with a good amount of long positions built up, is indicative of a strong move to be anticipated in this sector.

In the monthly chart of Nifty Metals shown below, notice the hammer candle pattern marked in the blue arrow which falls at 50 percent Fibonacci retracement level.

Source:https://www.moneycontrol.com/news/business/markets/metals-with-good-amount-of-long-positions-built-up-to-see-strong-upmove-in-april-series-3731271.html

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March auto sales may be mixed amid high inventory, but these 2 stocks remain brokerages top picks

Automobile sales in March are expected to be mixed for the sixth consecutive month, citing high inventories, rising ownership cost and deferred purchases during general elections, brokerages said.

Passenger vehicles and two-wheeler sales are expected to be a mixed bag, while the commercial vehicle segment is expected to register weak growth during the month.

In a recent report, Emkay said channel checks indicate rising ownership cost, deferred purchases during elections and selective financing by non-banking financial companies (NBFCs) are constraining volume performance across the automotive segments in the near term.

In the last one year, the sector has been worst performer, with the Nifty Auto index falling nearly 24 percent, amid a liquidity crisis and weak festive season. In March itself, the index was down 1.5 percent as against a seven percent rally in the Nifty.

Motherson Sumi Systems (down 10 percent), Hero MotoCorp (4 percent), Tata Motors (4 percent), Bharat Forge (3.6 percent) and Maruti Suzuki (3.4 percent) were top losers during the month.

Emkay forecasts mixed domestic volumes in March, with growth in passenger vehicles but muted showing in other segments.

Motilal Oswal too expects the same. "While demand for passenger vehicles is partially supported by new launches, the same for commercial vehicle has been declining over the past two months due to weak demand from major end-user segments."

Passenger vehicles

Emkay said passenger vehicle volumes are expected to be positive in the domestic market, with nine and four percent growth for Mahindra & Mahindra and Tata Motors, respectively.

But Maruti Suzuki, the largest car maker, is expected to post a 11.5 percent year-on-year decline in total despatches in March due to weak demand trends in the key western, central and northern markets such as Maharashtra, Gujarat, Delhi and Madhya Pradesh, leading to continued high inventory levels, Motilal Oswal said, adding that dealer inventory stands at 45-60 days.

Two-wheelers

Sales in the two-wheeler segment are expected to be a mixed bag, with declines in Eicher Motors and Hero MotoCorp and growth seen in Bajaj Auto.

Emkay expects Eicher Motors and Hero MotoCorp to report a 12 percent and six percent decline in sales, while Bajaj Auto will post a 16 percent growth YoY.

The research house said competitive intensity has increased as a result of free insurance schemes by Hero MotoCorp and Bajaj Auto.

Dealer inventory days have significantly increased over the past few months and have reached historically high levels. Hero MotoCorp has the highest dealer inventory days at around three months, followed by two months for Bajaj Auto and TVS Motor Company, and one month for Royal Enfield.

After the gloom in January and February, Motilal Oswal said key channel partners are indicating weak retail sales across key markets in March too.

Source:https://www.moneycontrol.com/news/business/markets/march-auto-sales-may-be-mixed-amid-high-inventory-but-these-2-stocks-remain-brokerages-top-picks-3725911.html

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What makes this smallcap a good value buy?

Himatsingka Seide (HSL), one of India’s largest home textile majors and exporters, draws our attention on account of improving business fundamentals. Conclusion of capex cycle by H1 FY20, higher contribution from branded products, an uptick in utilisation rates and undemanding valuations make us bullish on the stock.

Q3 review

Positives

- Sales grew on the back of higher contribution from branded products (84 percent of Q3 sales)

- Gross and operating margins expanded noticeably because of a good product mix and full benefits of captive consumption (ie. yarn being utilised to manufacture bed sheets)

Negatives

- Forex losses resulted in other income declining sharply year-on-year (YoY)

- Depreciation and interest costs rose significantly YoY due to investments in the terry towel plant

- Tax rate increased marginally YoY

- The above factors led to a marginal reduction in PAT (profit after tax) margins

Why consider investing?

Capex intensity is waning

By September 2019, HSL’s terry towel facility is likely to be set up. Post this, barring regular maintenance capital expenditure, there is no big expansion plan.

Depreciation and financing charges, that rose noticeably in the past 4 quarters due to investments in the terry towel project, are likely to reduce from H2 FY20 onwards. This is because impetus will be laid on debt repayment. Consequently, bottom-line margins, working capital cycle and cash flows should improve.

Utilisation rates are likely to go up

In Q3 FY17, HSL expanded its bed sheet manufacturing capacity from 23 mmpa (million metres per annum) to 46 mmpa. Utilisation levels in respect of both (ie. original and new capacity) are stable at the moment. As the company’s order book (particularly for branded products) grows, there will be a corresponding uptick in manufacturing activities. This, in turn, should help achieve operating leverage.

Debottlenecking of bed sheet manufacturing capacity has been concluded in Q3 FY19, thereby resulting in an increase in capacity to the tune of 15 mmpa. This new capacity will be utilised for manufacturing products that yield lower realisations, implying that sales growth, to this extent, will be volume-driven.

Once the terry towel facility becomes operational, utilisation levels should start moving up too.

Sale of branded products on an uptrend

In 9M FY19, brands constituted about 85.6 percent of the top-line as against 71 percent in FY18. HSL’s own brands are making their presence felt in the financials.

HSL will complete integration of manufacturing processes of the Tommy Hilfiger brand by Q4 FY19-end.

Rights to sell ‘Calvin Klein Home’ products globally have been acquired. Previously, HSL could sell products only in North America.

Since branded products, especially own brands and fashion bedding variants, command better realisations vis-a-vis their unbranded counterparts, HSL’s margins should start moving up gradually.

Risks

To mitigate risks associated with regional concentration, HSL is exploring markets in Europe and Asia. Nevertheless, at the moment, the US market alone comprises nearly 85-90 percent of HSL’s annual top-line. Therefore, Trump’s actions of withdrawing the preferential trade treatment granted to Indian exporters may affect the company’s future revenue visibility.

Indian Rupee’s appreciation vis-à-vis the US dollar would impact product realisations to the extent of unhedged cash flows. Raw material (cotton) costs are not showing any signs of moderation as of now.

Competitive pressure from nations such as Pakistan, Vietnam and Bangladesh continues to persist.

Signs of consumption slowdown in international markets can hit the order book.

Outlook

HSL’s stock price has been on a downward spiral during the course of the last 12 months. This is primarily on account of market volatility and YoY dip in PAT (profit after tax) margins since the last 3 quarters.

After a sharp 47 percent correction from its 52-week high, the stock trades at an undemanding 6.7 times its FY21 projected earnings. This makes it a good value buy.

However, it is pertinent to note that any meaningful re-rating in HSL’s valuation multiples may be seen only from H2 FY20.

Source:https://www.moneycontrol.com/news/business/moneycontrol-research/ideas-for-profit-what-makes-this-smallcap-a-good-value-buy-3724171.html

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Nifty Bank at record high; HDFC Bank, RBL Bank hit 52-week highs

The Bank Nifty hit an all-time high on March 27 as the rally in banking stocks continued for the second consecutive day.  The index surpassed its previous record high of 30,008 registered on March 22 and hit a fresh intraday high of 30,129.25 in the morning trade.

The rally was led by IndusInd Bank (up 3.8 percent), followed by RBL Bank (up 1.86 percent), Yes Bank (up 1.5 percent), PNB (up 1.3 percent), and Bank of Baroda (up 1 percent).

As many as two stocks in the Nifty Bank hit a fresh 52-week high. HDFC Bank surged to Rs 2,328.05, and RBL Bank rose to Rs 667.80 intraday on March 27.

Most experts feel that the rally is here to stay and investors can remain net long in the index with an initial target of 30,250. The support is seen at 29,500.

Source:

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Closing bell: Sensex jumps 424 pts, Nifty ends tad below 11,500; RIL, banks lead

Market Closing

Benchmark indices rebounded sharply after falling in previous two straight sessions, driven by banking & financials, and index heavyweight Reliance Industries.

The BSE Sensex rallied 424.50 points or 1.12 percent to 38,233.41 and the Nifty50 climbed 129 points or 1.14 percent to 11,483.30.

The Nifty Midcap index also gained over a percent but the market breadth was not so great.

About 1,377 shares advanced against 1,286 declining shares on the BSE.

NTPC, Reliance Industries, SBI, Vedanta and Bajaj Finance were leading gainers among Nifty50 stocks, rising 3-4 percent while Tech Mahindra, IOC, UPL, Infosys and Wipro lost 0.6-2.4 percent.

Source:https://www.moneycontrol.com/news/business/markets/closing-bell-sensex-jumps-424-pts-nifty-ends-tad-below-11500-ril-banks-lead-3700331.html

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Sensex marginally higher, Nifty inches towards 11,400; Jet Airways rallies 7%

Market Opening:

Benchmark indices opened marginally higher after a selling pressure seen in previous two consecutive sessions.

The BSE Sensex rose 51.28 points to 37,860.19 and the Nifty50 gained 31.90 points at 11,386.20.

Indiabulls Housing, Zee Entertainment, Eicher Motors, GAIL, Adani Ports, Bharti Infratel and Reliance Industries were early gainers.

Infosys, TCS, Tech Mahindra, HCL Technologies, JSW Steel and Power Grid were under pressure.

Nifty Midcap index was up 0.5 percent.

Jet Airways rallied 7 percent after Naresh Goyal and his wife stepped down from board.

Kalpataru Power Transmission gained 4 percent.

ICICI Prudential Life lost 2.5 percent.

Rupee Opening

The Indian rupee opened higher at 68.88 against the US dollar on March 26, 2019.

It appreciated by 5 paise compared to Monday's close of 68.93 to the dollar.

"The rupee ended mildly higher, on March 25, recovering from its intraday lows of 69.17. RBI three-year dollar-rupee swap auction will be held today. The move in the rupee will be keenly watched ahead of RBI’s monetary policy meeting next week," ICICI Securities said.

The brokerage further said the slump in US yields could cap the dollar's ability to appreciate sharply.

Investors continue to await the US-China trade talks outcome while ongoing Brexit uncertainty is also weighing on risk sentiments, it added.

Source:https://www.moneycontrol.com/news/business/markets/stock-market-live-updates-bse-nse-sensex-marginally-higher-nifty-inches-towards-11400-jet-airways-rallies-7-3700331.html

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Closing Bell: Nifty ends above 11,450, Sensex gains 70 points; OMCs gain

Market close: The last hour buying helped the market to end higher on Monday with Nifty finished above 11,450 level.

At the close, the Sensex was up 70.75 points at 38095.07, while Nifty was up 35.30 points at 11462.20. About 1132 shares have advanced, 1545 shares declined, and 173 shares are unchanged. 

HPCL, IOC, Bajaj Finance, BPCL and JSW Steel were the top gainers on the Nifty, while losers include Maruti Suzuki, Hero Motocorp, Wipro, Bharti Airtel and HCL Tech.

Among the sectors, IT and auto index remained under pressure throughout the day as they slipped 1 percent each, while some buying was seen in the metal, energy, FMCG and bank names.

Source:https://www.moneycontrol.com/news/business/markets/closing-bell-nifty-ends-above-11450-sensex-gains-70-points-omcs-gain-3656321.html

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MCX Support and Resistance Level

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Investor wealth up Rs 8 lk cr in March as FII inflows get a boost, Street expects Modi return

The benchmark index, S&P BSE Sensex, fell for nine consecutive days last month from February 7 to 19. Given the somber sentiment on the Street at that time, no one could have thought that the index would rally 2,248 points in the next 14 sessions.

Thanks to the strong rally in past few sessions, the market capitalisation (m-cap) of BSE-listed companies rose by Rs 12 lakh crore as on March 12 to Rs 148.20 lakh crore from Rs 136.24 lakh crore as recorded on February 19 when the index made a bottom of 35,287.

In March alone, m-cap of BSE-listed companies has risen by Rs 7.79 lakh crore.

Both Sensex and Nifty have risen above their crucial resistance levels to hit 6-month highs, thanks to liquidity push from foreign institutional investors (FIIs), and expectations of Modi 2.0 in the upcoming Lok Sabha elections to be held from April 11 to May 19.

“Before the Pulwama attack, there was uncertainty about the formation of next government. The way government has handled the situation increased the probability of BJP coming back to power,” Rusmik Oza, Head of Fundamental Research, Kotak Securities told Moneycontrol.

“Market is sensing a BJP victory after the Pulwama event and developments that have taken place since then. In the last three months, activity in emerging markets has improved with improved flows,” he said.

One big factor that is pushing the market higher is massive liquidity push seen from foreign institutional investors (FIIs) so far in March and February. FIIs have poured a little over Rs 10,000 crore in Indian equities till March 12.

FPIs were net buyers (equity and debt) in February as well as January 2019 for Rs 13,564 crore and Rs 127 crore, respectively. Experts feel that with FII flows resuming and domestic investors getting comfortable with the political developments, a host of beaten-down largecaps, mid and smallcaps are doing catch-up now.

“FIIs are continuously buying quality names that we saw in recent block deals of Kotak Bank, Wipro, etc. With stability in INR and supportive macros and micros can expect similar or better flow in the near term,” Yogesh Mehta, VP, Retail Research, Motilal Oswal Securities told Moneycontrol.

“Lower inflation, lower interest rates, stronger rupee and stable crude prices are the support for India’s economy whereas global markets are worrisome over the growth slowing down, Brexit and tariff war between US and China, which indicates Indian markets are decoupled due to the election in the centre stage,” he said.

Mehta further added that the recent air strike in Balakot has increased the popularity of Modi and markets have started projecting better performance of the ruling party in the coming election.

Source:https://www.moneycontrol.com/news/business/markets/investor-wealth-up-rs-8-lk-cr-in-march-as-fii-inflows-get-a-boost-street-expects-modi-return-3636791.html

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Nifty forms bullish candle for second day in a row, profit booking likely

The Nifty50 after strong opening continued its run throughout the session and closed at highest levels in last six months on Tuesday. Strong global cues and FII flow lifted sentiment.

The index closed above 11,300 levels and formed bullish candle on the daily charts for second consecutive session.

The index has managed to cross 11,118 and 11,180 zones in last two sessions and supports are gradually shifting higher with the higher pace of buying momentum, but as it entered into overbought zone, there could be some profit booking in coming sessions, experts said.

The Nifty50 after opening sharply higher at 11,231.35 gained more strength as the day progressed and hit an intraday high of 11,320.40. The index closed 133.20 points or 1.19 percent higher at 11,301.20, the highest level since September 17, 2018.

"Nifty50 registered yet another day of gap up opening with strong bullish candle for second session in a row to continue its march towards northern direction as it cleared near term critical hurdles one after the other. Once a consolidation breakout happens it becomes quite natural to register this kind of sustainable upswings for couple of sessions," Mazhar Mohammad, Chief Strategist – Technical Research & Trading Advisory, Chartviewindia.in told Moneycontrol.

He said, however, as Nifty50 is nearing its logical resistance levels on the back of strong rally it may undergo some profit booking as it nears 11,400 levels.

Besides, this sharp upmove appears to have brought the indices into overbought zone on lower time frame charts making a case for some cooling off in the near term, he added.

On the down sides, Tuesday's gap zone of 11,227–11,180 can be considered as critical support going forward below which short term trend shall come under pressure, according to Mazhar.

For the time being, he advised traders to consider booking profits as Nifty heads towards 11,400 levels.

India VIX closed higher after the declines of last seven trading sessions. It was moved up by 1.33 percent to 15.09 levels.

On Option front, maximum Put open interest (OI) is at 11,000 followed by 10,700 strike while maximum Call OI is at 11,400 followed by 11,500 strike.

Meaningful Put writing is at 11,200 followed by 11,300 strike while Call unwinding is at all the immediate strikes with minor Call writing at 11,350 strike.

Experts said Option band signifies a shift in higher trading range in between 11,150 to 11,450 zones.

"Nifty index surpassed its resistance trend line of the sideways channel and closed above the same with the formation of bullish candle on daily scale which indicates bullish bias. Now it has to continue to hold above 11,200 zone to extend its gains towards 11,400-11,450 zones," Chandan Taparia, Associate Vice President | Analyst-Derivatives at Motilal Oswal Financial Services said.

Overall setup and momentum is positive and a follow up could continue its extended momentum while immediate support exists at 11,200 then 11,118 zones, he added.

Bank Nifty rallied by more than 450 points and made a new life-time high towards 28,488 mark by crossing previous high of 28,388 zones.

It closed at 28,443.70, up 477.05 points and formed a bullish candle on daily scale which indicates that bulls are holding tight grip in the market with fresh breakout.

"Now it has to continue to hold above 28,150 zones to extend its momentum towards new life time high of 28,750-28,800 zones while on the downside major support exists at 28,000 then 27,750 levels," Chandan said.

Source:https://www.moneycontrol.com/news/business/markets/technical-view-nifty-forms-bullish-candle-for-second-day-in-a-row-profit-booking-likely-3637471.html


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Nifty above 11,250, Sensex gains 300 pts; HDFC Life falls 4%

Market Opens: Indian indices continued its upward momentum on the second day on Tuesday with Nifty opened above 11,200 level.

The Sensex is up 291.67 points at 37345.77, while Nifty is up 80.50 points at 11248.50. About 759 shares have advanced, 129 shares declined, and 24 shares are unchanged. 

RIL, Tata Motors, IOC, Bajaj Finserv, HDFC, Dabur, Ashok Leyland, Union Bank, IOB, Coal India, HDFC Bank, Gail, Grasim Industries are among major gainers on the indices, while losers are Bharti Airtel, Bharti Infratel and HDFC Standard Life.

All the sectoral indices are trading higher led by energy, infra and metal.

Rupee Opens: The Indian rupee opened higher by 13 paise at 69.75 per dollar on Tuesday versus Monday's close 69.88.

Source: https://www.moneycontrol.com/news/business/markets/stock-market-live-updates-bse-nse-nifty-above-11250-sensex-gains-300-pts-hdfc-life-falls-4-3634311.html


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Closing bell: Nifty holds 11,000 on a rangebound day, Sensex marginally lower

The market closed off its lows amid rangebound session due to lack of cues.

The 30-share BSE Sensex was down 53.99 points at 36,671.43 and the Nifty50 fell 22.80 points to 11,035.40.

Tata Motors, Wipro, HCL Technologies, Tata Steel, Hindalco and Maruti Suzuki were down 1-4 percent while Bajaj Auto and Eicher Motors gained over a percent each.

The broader markets also ended in the red. Nifty Midcap index was down 0.2 percent.

Arvind was down 5 percent, but its subsidiary Arvind Fashions rallied 5 percent on day 1.

Dish TV, Jain Irrigation, Firstsource and Reliance Infrastructure were down 2-4 percent. However, Granules India, Gujarat Gas, Just Dial, ICICI Prudential and Reliance Nippon gained 3-7 percent.

Source:https://www.moneycontrol.com/news/business/markets/closing-bell-nifty-holds-11000-on-a-rangebound-day-sensex-marginally-lower-3622361.html

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Oil falls on weak demand growth outlook; OPEC-led cuts support

Oil prices fell on Tuesday as markets eyed only modest prospects for growth in fuel demand, although OPEC-led efforts to cut output still offered some support.

U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil futures were at $56.30 per barrel at 0210 GMT, down 29 cents, or 0.5 percent, from their last settlement.

Brent crude futures were at $65.36 per barrel, down 31 cents, or 0.5 percent.

"Near term ... it is hard to get very bullish on oil prices. The market is still working off the surpluses built in H2 2018, keeping OECD commercial inventories stuck above the five-year average," said energy analysts at economic research firm TS Lombard.

And despite optimism that the United States and China will soon end their bitter trade disputes, oil demand growth has been slowing along with an economic slowdown especially in Europe and Asia.

Meanwhile, fuel efficiency is improving, denting demand growth.

"2018 was the weakest (refined product) demand growth year since 2011," Bank of America Merrill Lynch said in a note.

To prop up the market, the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) has led efforts since the start of the year to withhold around 1.2 million barrels per day (bpd) of supply.

The group was due to decide in April whether to continue withholding supply, but OPEC sources said this week a decision would likely be delayed until June, meaning cuts will continue at least until then.

The OPEC-led supply cuts, as well as U.S. sanctions against its members Iran and Venezuela, come at the same time as U.S. crude output chases ever new records, rising by more than 2 million barrels per day (bpd) since early 2018 and above 12 million bpd for the first time in February.

The cuts to OPEC supply have pushed up the Brent international crude price benchmark due to a shortage of the heavy crudes that OPEC mostly produces. At the same time, the surge in U.S. output is weighing down U.S. WTI prices as there is ample supply of America's mainly light crudes.

Because of this, energy researchers at TS Lombard said "the Brent-WTI spread can be expected to stay wide."

WTI's front-month price spread to Brent has declined from near parity in 2016 to an average discount of $8.50 per barrel since the start of 2019.

During the same time, U.S. crude output has risen by almost 3 million bpd.

Source:https://www.moneycontrol.com/news/business/markets/oil-falls-on-weak-demand-growth-outlook-opec-led-cuts-support-3607431.html

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Nifty above 10,800, Sensex up 100 pts; IOC, Sun Pharma top gainers

Market Opens: It is a strong start for the indices on Thursday with Nifty trading around 10,850 level.

At 09:18 hrs IST, the Sensex is up 139.66 points at 36045.09, while Nifty is up 40.90 points at 10847.60. About 525 shares have advanced, 138 shares declined, and 33 shares are unchanged. 

Tata Metaliks, Future Retail, Yes Bank, Tata Motors, Coal India, Adani Ports, Quick Heal, Motherson Sumi, Balrampur Chini, Maruti Suzuki are among major gainers on the indices, while losers are ONGC, Wipro, Indiabulls Housing, Jet Airways, Odisha Cement, TCS and HCL Tech.

All the sectoral indices are trading in green led by PSU bank, auto, energy and FMCG.

Rupee Opens: The Indian rupee opened lower at 71.26 per dollar on Thursday versus Wednesday's close 71.22.

Source:https://www.moneycontrol.com/news/business/markets/stock-market-live-updates-bse-nse-nifty-above-10800-sensex-up-100-pts-ioc-sun-pharma-top-gainers-3591771.html

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GST cut to boost sales of under-construction flats; no ITC may hit builders' profit margin: Moody's

Credit rating agency Moody's on Wednesday said the GST rate cut on under-construction flats will boost housing sales, but may hit profit margins of builders with withdrawal of input tax credit.

The GST Council had on Sunday decided to cut goods and services tax (GST) rate on affordable homes to 1 per cent without input tax credit (ITC) from earlier 8 per cent with ITC.

The GST on under-construction flats, which is not under the affordable housing segment, has been reduced to 5 per cent without ITC from earlier 12 per cent with ITC.

"The reduction in GST is credit positive for India's property developers...because the reduction in tax will boost demand and increase sales of properties under construction," Moody's Investors Service said in a statement.

"India's real estate sector has weathered difficulties in the last few years amid price reductions from a glut of inventory and lackluster demand. The reduction in GST will improve housing affordability as the amount to be paid by a potential house buyer will be reduced, which will increase demand for property," it added.

The reduction in GST rate on affordable housing is in line with the government's increased focus on this segment, Moody's said.

"The new GST measures eliminate the ability to claim input tax credit, which may hit the profitability of the developers," the rating agency said.

Currently, the developers are able to reduce the tax liability when it makes a sale by claiming tax paid on goods and services required for the construction of properties. "This will further impact developers' profit margins that are already under pressure."

Moody's said that the developers have the option to mitigate this loss by increasing prices slightly given that overall pricing for the customer has reduced with lower GST.

Meanwhile, Fitch Ratings said the move to reduce the GST on under-construction properties and expand the scope of the affordable-housing category would improve affordability and support demand.

"We believe this will boost consumer sentiment and cut transaction costs, which can be as high as 18 per cent in Mumbai after including other taxes, such as stamp duty, surcharge and registration fees," it said.

"The measure also withdraws input-tax credits for developers, but we still expect marginal savings on overall transaction costs and more so for affordable housing as well as improved buyer confidence, as the measure eliminates ambiguity as to whether property developers are adequately passing on input-tax credit to buyers," Fitch said.

Source:https://www.moneycontrol.com/news/business/economy/gst-cut-to-boost-sales-of-under-construction-flats-no-itc-may-hit-builders-profit-margin-moodys-3589171.html

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