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Wednesday, February 6, 2019

Sensex gave positive returns in Feb in 5 out of 10 years; what does 2019 hold?


It looks like bulls and bears battle it out on Dalal Street in the month of February, which is usually marred by Budget volatility. Historical data shows Sensex gave positive returns in February in 5 out of last 10 years.
During the last 10 years, S&P BSE Sensex rallied the most in February 2014 rising 4.5 percent, followed by a 2.6 percent up move seen in 2012, and 2.1 percent gain in 2017, data collated by Ace Equity showed.
On the other hand, in past 10 years, Sensex fell the most in 2016 when it plunged over 7 percent, followed by 4.8 percent drop in 2018 and 4.6 percent fall in 2013.
This month, the sentiment on D-Street has been positive from day 1 after the Interim Budget when Nifty rose beyond 10,900, which is a strong sign as it has put bears on the back foot for now.
Source:https://www.moneycontrol.com/news/business/markets/sensex-gave-positive-returns-in-feb-in-5-out-of-10-years-what-does-2019-hold-3485291.html

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Berger Paints Q3FY19 review: Volume drives topline, but crude prices hurt margins

Highlights:

- Q3 volume growth was strong at nearly 14-15 percent
- Festive demand aided topline growth
- Management expects margins to recover in Q4
- Competitive intensity to increase going forward

- Valuations offer little upside from current levels
India’s second-largest decorative paints company reported better-than-expected Q3FY19 topline. Volume growth was in high teens, at par with its larger peer Asian Paints. Operating margins, however, contracted as high crude oil prices expanded the cost base. The company appears to be on a secular growth path as it continues to grow faster than the industry, gaining market share from smaller and unorganised players.
Capture -1
Key Q3 positives
- Topline growth of 21 percent was driven by strong volume growth. The decorative volume growth estimates for the quarter stood at nearly 14 percent as strong consumer demand during the festive season along with a favourable base (timing of Diwali) aided the sales growth in October-December period.
- Operating profit margins recovered sequentially with successive price hikes partially alleviating the crude-oil and currency-related pressures. However, high-cost inventory kept margins under pressure on YoY basis.
- Apart from strong demand in the decorative business, there was decent traction in industrials, Nepal decorative business, and Saboo Coatings.
- The management expects a recovery in Q4 margins from softening crude prices and rupee stabilisation against the dollar.
Source: https://www.moneycontrol.com/news/business/moneycontrol-research/berger-paints-q3fy19-review-volume-drives-topline-but-crude-prices-hurt-margins-3491201.html

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Monday, February 4, 2019

Closing Bell: Nifty manages to end above 10,900, Sensex gains 113 pts; RIL market-cap above Rs 8 lk cr

Market at close: Benchmark indices bounced from the day's low to end on positive note with Nifty closed above 10,900 level.
The Sensex was up 113.31 points at 36582.74, while Nifty was up 18.60 points at 10912.30. About 799 shares have advanced, 1757 shares declined, and 172 shares are unchanged. 
Reliance Industries, ONGC, Bajaj Auto, TCS and Kotak Mahindra Bank are the top gainers on the Sensex, while losers include Yes Bank, Power Grid, NTPC, Sun Pharma and M&M.
Among sectors, infra, auto, metal, FMCG and pharma witnessed selling pressure, while some buying saw in bank, energy and IT stocks.

Source:https://www.moneycontrol.com/news/business/markets/closing-bell-nifty-manages-to-end-above-10900-sensex-gains-113-pts-ril-market-cap-above-rs-8-lk-cr-3477221.html
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DHFL falls 13% even as co divests majority stake in Aadhar Housing Finance to Blackstone

Shares of Dewan Housing Finance (DHFL) fell 13 percent in the morning trade, even as the company decided to divest its stake in Aadhar Housing Finance to Blackstone.
The stock touched a 52-week low of Rs 97.00. It touched an intraday high of Rs 111.15 and an intraday low of Rs 97.00.
Private equity major Blackstone agreed to buy nearly 80 percent of affordable homes-focused Aadhar Housing Finance from the financially stretched Wadhawan group for an undisclosed sum.

The group's holding company Wadhawan Global Capital (WGC) will be selling its 70 percent stake in the company, while its listed mortgage lender subsidiary DHFL will also be exiting its investment, which is reported to be around 9 percent, as per a company statement on February 2.
The deal comes days after the group was alleged to have syphoned off over Rs 31,000 crore of public money as reported by news portal Cobrapost, which claimed loans were taken from DHFL and the money taken out of the country by the Wadhawans.
The group has denied all the allegations, even as the DHFL stock plunged since then.
At 09:36 hrs Dewan Housing Finance Corporation was quoting at Rs 106.70, down Rs 4.75, or 4.26 percent.


Source: https://www.moneycontrol.com/news/business/markets/dhfl-falls-13-even-as-co-divests-majority-stake-in-aadhar-housing-finance-to-blackstone-3477691.html

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MCX Support and Resistance levels


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Closing Bell: Sensex ends 192 pts lower, Nifty below 11,600 even as RBI cuts rate

Market at close:  Benchmark indices ended lower but off day's low after Reserve Bank of India (RBI) slashed repo rate by 25 bps to 6...