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Saturday, March 16, 2019

US oil retreats from 2019 high on soaring production


US crude futures eased slightly on March 15 after hitting a 2019 high, as worries about the global economy and robust US production put a brake on prices.
West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil futures settled down 9 cents at $58.52 a barrel, having hit their highest so far this year at $58.95.
Brent crude futures settled down 7 cents at $67.16 a barrel, below their 2019 peak of $68.14 reached on March 14.
US crude ended the week 4.1 percent higher, and Brent was up 1.9 percent.
"The market is taking a pause as it tries to digest mixed reports that give us different ideas of future supply and demand," said Phil Flynn, an analyst at Price Futures group in Chicago. "The OPEC-plus meeting could give us a little direction," he said.
The Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and its allies including Russia, an alliance known as OPEC+, agreed last year to cut production, partly in response to increased U.S. shale output.
OPEC+ ministers will meet on April 17-18 to decide production policy.
"If OPEC+ decide to extend (cuts) ... we expect that inventories will continue to draw through at least Q3," US investment bank Jefferies said.
The International Energy Agency said on March 15 that the market could show a modest surplus in the first quarter of 2019 before flipping into a deficit in the second quarter by about 0.5 million barrels per day (bpd).
It said a comfortable supply cushion by OPEC could prevent any price rally in case of possible disruptions and that non-OPEC oil output growth led by the United States should ensure demand is met.
US energy firms this week reduced the number of oil rigs operating for a fourth week in a row, with drilling slowing to its lowest in nearly a year, prompting the government to cut crude output growth forecasts.
Drillers cut one oil rig in the week to March 15, bringing the total count down to 833, the lowest since April 2018, General Electric Co's Baker Hughes energy services firm said in its closely-followed report on Friday.
Oil price gains have been limited by concerns that an economic slowdown that has gripped large parts of Asia and Europe will dent growth in fuel demand.
But oil consumption has held up so far.
Crude oil use in China, the world's biggest importer, in the first two months of 2019 rose 6.1 percent from a year earlier to a record 12.68 million bpd, official data showed this week.
Goldman Sachs said growth in global demand for crude in January was "nearly 2.0 million barrels per day, with strength visible in both emerging markets and developed economies."
Source:https://www.moneycontrol.com/news/business/commodities/us-oil-retreats-from-2019-high-on-soaring-production-3653221.html

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Friday, March 15, 2019

Closing Bell: Sensex ends 269 points higher, Nifty above 11,400; IT stocks outshine

Market at close: Benchmark indices ended higher but off day's high on the back of last hour selling pressure.
The Sensex was up 269.43 points at 38024.32, while Nifty was up 83.60 points at 11,426.90. About 1172 shares have advanced, 1452 shares declined, and 162 shares are unchanged. 
Among the gainers, Kotak Mahindra Bank rose 4%, followed by Power Grid Corp, TCS, ICICI Bank and SBI, while on the other hand HUL shed 2 percent, followed by Yes Bank, RIL, Bharti Airtel and ITC on the Sensex.
On the sectoral front, IT index has outperformed the other indices with nearly 2 percent gain followed by auto, infra, metal and pharma, while selling was seen in the FMCG space.
Nifty Bank continued its upward momentum as it ended 1.6 percent higher at 29381.50.

Source:https://www.moneycontrol.com/news/business/markets/closing-bell-sensex-ends-269-points-higher-nifty-above-11400-it-stocks-outshine-3649211.html

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Bank Nifty gains 10% in March: Here's what is driving the rally in banking stocks


Banking and financial services stocks have been key drivers of the current rally that has led benchmark indices to fresh six-month highs. The up move has been fuelled by hopes of Modi's return at the Centre and renewed FII inflow.
Bank Nifty has rallied 10 percent in March so far and financial services index has climbed around 8 percent in comparison to Nifty's over 5 percent gain.
Index constituents Punjab National BankBank Of BarodaIndusInd BankIDFC First BankICICI BankRBL Bank and SBI have rallied 10-20 percent during the current month.
Meanwhile, Kotak Mahindra BankFederal BankHDFC BankYes Bank and Axis Bank have gained 5-9 percent.
Source:https://www.moneycontrol.com/news/business/markets/bank-nifty-gains-10-in-march-heres-what-is-driving-the-rally-in-banking-stocks-3649921.html

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MCX Support and Resistance Level


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Sensex opens more than 100 pts higher, Nifty around 11,400; Coal India falls

Market Opens: It is a strong start for the Indian indices on the last day of the week with Nifty around 11,400 level.
The Sensex is up 165.79 points at 37920.68, while Nifty is up 51.10 points at 11394.40. About 528 shares have advanced, 171 shares declined, and 33 shares are unchanged. 
Tech Mahindra, Indiabulls Housing, Gail, Eicher Motors, Dr Reddy's Lab, Kotak Mahindra, JSW Steel are the gainers on the indices, while losers led by Coal India, Bajaj Auro and UltraTEch Cement.
Rupee Opens: The Indian rupee opened flat at 69.33 per dollar on Friday versus 69.35 yesterday.
Source:https://www.moneycontrol.com/news/business/markets/stock-market-live-updates-bse-nse-sensex-opens-more-than-100-pts-higher-nifty-crosses-11400-coal-india-falls-3649211.html

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Thursday, March 14, 2019

Nifty forms bearish candle; consolidation likely but 11,383 crucial for bulls


The Nifty50 took a breather on March 14 and closed flat after witnessing a rally in previous three consecutive sessions. The broader markets also barely changed against its previous close.
The index remained in a range of 30 points for major part of the session and formed bearish candle on the daily charts as closing is way below its opening price.
Considering breather after a three-day rally indicates that there could be some more consolidation in the coming session, but the major downside is unlikely, experts said, adding 11,383 is crucial level for bulls.
The Nifty50 after positive opening at 11,382.50 traded higher for nearly one hour and hit an intraday high of 11,383.45 after RBI's latest statement on liquidity infusion in the system. But the index failed to sustain those gains and hit a day's low of 11,313.75. The index remained rangebound for major part of the session and closed at 11,343.30, up 1.60 points.
"Nifty50 registered a bearish candle on intraday charts, suggesting that market hit a pause mode for time being," Mazhar Mohammad, Chief Strategist – Technical Research & Trading Advisory at Chartviewindia.in told Moneycontrol.
He said, in next trading session if Nifty slips below 11,313 then it shall attract further selling pressure for the day which may then hint at a short term top around March 14 high of 11,383. In such a scenario initial target shall be in the zone of 11,227–11,180, he added.
As twin momentum oscillators, which usually have higher accuracy in catching short term turning points are on sell mode, he advised traders to refrain from maintaining or creating fresh long positions at this juncture.
India VIX moved down by 0.98 percent to 15.12. VIX has been hovering near to 15 but it has recently declined from higher zones which is supporting the overall bullish stance, experts said, adding option band signifies a shift in higher trading range in between 11,150 to 11,450 zones.
On Option front, maximum Put open interest (OI) is at 11,000 followed by 11,200 strike while maximum Call OI is at 11,500 followed by 11,400 strike.
Put writing is at 11,300 followed by 11,200 strike while Call writing is at 11,400 followed by 11,500 strike.
"On immediate basis Nifty index has to continue to hold above 11,280 to extend its upmove towards 11,400-11,450 while on the downside support exists at 11,280 then 11,222," Chandan Taparia, Associate Vice President | Analyst-Derivatives at Motilal Oswal Financial Services said.
Bank Nifty opened positive and hit a fresh life-time high of 29,070, however, it failed to hold above 29,000 and slipped marginally towards 28,800. It later recovered from lower levels but formed a bearish candle on the daily scale. The index closed 38.80 points higher at 28,923.10.
"Now it has to continue to hold above 28,688 to extend its momentum towards new life-time high of 29,000 then 29,250 while on the downside major support exists at 28,500 then 28,388," Chandan Taparia said.
Source:https://www.moneycontrol.com/news/business/markets/technical-view-nifty-forms-bearish-candle-consolidation-likely-but-11383-crucial-for-bulls-3647341.html

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Indices off day's high, Nifty trades flat; Power Grid Corp falls 3%

Market opens: It is a firm start for the Indian indices on Thursday morning with Nifty around 11,370 level.
The Sensex is up 131.80 points at 37883.97, while Nifty is up 32.80 points or 0.29% at 11374.50. About 566 shares have advanced, 268 shares declined, and 56 shares are unchanged. 
DHFL gained 5 percent, followed by Lemon Tree, Lupin, Zee Ent, Indianbulls Housing, HCL Tech, Axis Bank, Yes Bank, Infosys are among the major gainers on the indices, while losers include Power Grid, BPCL, Tata Motors, Adani Ports and HPCL.
Among the sectors, FMCG, infra and energy are trading marginally lower, while IT, metal, pharma, and auto witnessing buying interest.
Rupee Opens: The Indian rupee opened lower by 14 paise at 69.67 per dollar on Thursday versus previous close 69.53.
Source:https://www.moneycontrol.com/news/business/markets/stock-market-live-updates-bse-nse-nifty-around-indices-off-days-high-nifty-trades-flat-power-grid-corp-slumps-3-3644301.html

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Closing Bell: Sensex ends 192 pts lower, Nifty below 11,600 even as RBI cuts rate

Market at close:  Benchmark indices ended lower but off day's low after Reserve Bank of India (RBI) slashed repo rate by 25 bps to 6...